Home

Back

The Effect of Ubiquitous Broadband Absorption on Investment, Jobs and the US Economy
Robert Crandall
Charles L. Jackson
Hal J. Singer
October 2003

 

This is an excellent piece of work sponsored by New Millenium Research. Robert Crandall, Charles Jackson, and Hal Singer of Criterion Economics show what a wonderful world it would be if Congress and regulators would stop playing political games that keep broadband rollouts from happening. Today's broadband is tomorrow's snail mail. Deregulating telecom in the ways discussed in this paper is one way to stimulate growth and productivity. It would also cause the deficit to decrease, and it would generate income and tax receipts.

Regulators and legislators have to start thinking not only of capital investments today but for the next generation and the generation after that. That requires capital spending. Capital spending is really bottled- up energy to use in the future for growth. The future is all about capital. Capital obeys the fundamental laws of science. The first law of thermodynamics says capital runs from low-return to high-return situations. Policies that depress the return on capital drive capital away. U.S. regulatory policy has posted a "not welcome" sign for capital in telecom and technology in terms of forced access, price controls (in the form of TELRIC), broadband regulations and the inherent uncertainty of policy.

We hear a lot about regulators who are judging their progress by how much they're able to show reduced prices for services. Reduced prices are one of the implications of capital spending, and they're happening at a rapid pace. What we should measure regulators by is their degree of success in generating capital spending. Capital spending is the seed corn for growth and living standards for the future. Rent control lowers prices, too, but it also can destroy the housing stock. Price controls in telecom are another example of rent control, and they're doing immense damage. We should do things that generate capital formation. The complete report is available at New Millenium Research.